Are We There Yet?

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Screenshot 2022-09-29 at 16-19-59 NYSE ARCA GOLD BUGS INDEX (^HUI) Charts Data & News - Yahoo Finance.png

The HUI Index of gold mining stocks, despite today's rally remains in a well established downtrend.

A downtrend is defined as a series of LOWER LOWS and LOWER HIGHS.

Screenshot 2022-09-29 at 16-28-24 Chemistry Cat Meme Generator - Imgflip.png

Personally, I can not see any reason to be long the mining shares at this point, but that is just me.

Screenshot 2022-09-29 at 16-21-09 Gold Futures Price - Investing.com.png

Last week, I posted that gold was moving sideways along SUPPORT. That SUPPORT broke down after the FED MEETING and the raising of the short term interest rates. Gold hit a new LOW in the DOWNTREND and has bounced back to former support . . . .

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RESISTANCE!

Gold remains in a well established downtrend.

Screenshot 2022-09-29 at 16-21-53 Silver Futures Price - Investing.com.png

Silver is slightly different in as much as silver keeps churning sideways. Trading sideways markets just chews anyone up are for me are best to be avoided.

Screenshot 2022-09-29 at 16-41-51 Buy Uncirculated American Silver Eagles JM Bullion™.png
source: JM Bullion

The premium on American Silver Eagles remains very high compared to the COMEX at roughly $16 per ounce.

The answer to the question of whether we are there yet is simply no, not yet.

A rally in precious metals in the Fall is a very rare thing, not an unheard of thing but rare nonetheless.

In a typical year gold and silver tend to bottom in early December but we are not living in typical times.

Peace Out and Stack On!

Are We There Yet? | Ecency