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fazzyraz
@fazzyraz
46
Commentary on the Elon universe. Especially on Tesla but I also love SpaceX and his other ventures! Find me on INLEO
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2025-11-02 18:48
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fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
This probably means humans will start interacting much more in many ways — provided the robot handles unwanted tasks, freeing people to do more of what they want, which often involves other humans
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fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
Devices people constantly interact with are about to meld into the background. Screens will slowly become an afterthought
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fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
Hey can you help pack this box up real quick Hey can you kickstart the fact-check process for the next book Hey can you run to the store and get some milk for the baby Hey can you let everyone know the
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
Tesla's Optimus Bot looks poised to be the next 'iPhone'
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
That's why AI won't automatically shrink workloads as imagined—work isn't static. Many organizations have far more they could do than they do today; starting everything was previously limited by time and
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
Counterintuitively, as AI improves some tasks become cheap enough that it's economically viable to employ someone to run them continuously with agents, but until experimentation became low-cost such attempts
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
These tasks wouldn't previously have been delegated; they simply went undone because fully manual completion took too long
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
Seemingly small tasks often end up consuming 3 hours because agents make it easy to get started, yet the remaining work to finish the project still requires manual effort
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
Expectations that AI would reduce workloads haven't materialized (at least for now) AI makes it easier to explore more options than before, which leads to taking on far more as a result
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-21 06-02
Those with initiative are likely busier now than ever
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
$TSLA
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
Overall, a very constructive quarter for long-term prospects: accelerated FSD adoption signals growing recurring revenue potential, and the transition toward unsupervised software should materially boost
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
The key question is how quickly FSD revenue can scale at 80%+ margins while Robotaxi and Optimus ramps remain pending.
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
This outlook comes while significant CAPEX is required for Optimus, Cybercab, and Terafab — all important for long-term trajectory.
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
That implies about a 166 P/E at a $1T valuation on increasing software revenue and margins — a valuation that appears reasonable and could even be conservative, as seen with comparable software-heavy
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
By end-2027, a fleet of 5M+ cars each generating at least $99/month would add roughly $6B in annual net income, growing over time.
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
Over the next 12 months, the main catalyst is the expanding adoption of FSD across a growing fleet that will eventually operate unsupervised, delivering recurring revenue at 80%+ margins as regulations
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
A Robotaxi-capable car is worth significantly more, and even high retrofit costs could be recouped through fares. If the upgrade path is viable — which has been confirmed — the economics are compelling.
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
There is now clear signaling that HW3 vehicles will not reach Unsupervised. The plan appears to be discounted trade-in offers for HW3 cars that bought FSD and efforts to upgrade affected vehicles to HW4
fazzyraz
LeoFinance
3M
RE: LeoThread 2026-06-16 17-21
Charging $99/month for a fully unsupervised personal chauffeur seems unlikely; the real premium opportunity is much higher.
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