Conclusion: AI is not taking anyone's jobs, let's get this out of the way first.

Not yet indeed 😉

Problem is that required skill. This is a gap that can be filled with AI.

Solving this, makes more people becoming a Dev, perhaps everybody at some point in time.

However, the question on the far out future of software development is and stays: Will the mass market create their own services, or will service be created by those who can create the correct requirements and features. The latter is far easier than deving itself. Perhaps we will see all sort of groups creating services for their own needs, and perhaps also localised in geo area, connecting IRL with digital space in the way local IRL communities want to use a service together. I think in time, global services will be under attack a lot. They will be seen as too limited, too uniform to use. Perhaps global service still have a place, as some kind of backbone framework and/or communication protocol, but that doesnt have to be that way. In the end we simply need to standardise interfaces allowing local services to interact with local services somewhere else on our globe. Like mobile telecoomms standardised interoperability, but better.

For now, I agree with you. Devving on HIVE is still not replaced by AI.