I hear this a lot but I honestly never understand the logic. We've only seen the results of two halving events. One of those bull runs (first one?) is just from exponential network expansion alone. Are we projecting that one day these cycles will be longer than the 4-year halving event? Seems weird.

I don't think we have enough data here to make any kind of valid prediction. We are in totally uncharted territory: Bitcoin having a solid network in the middle of an impending unprecedented global financial crisis. We have no history for what is about to happen. Very curious to see how this wrecks all the predictions.

I gotta say those graphs do look really nice though, and if Bitcoin is becoming less volatile over time because the network and liquidity are expanding exponentially (should be the case) then we very well could have a predictable outcome... who knows.