I don't think you are confused.
Green is up.
Red is down.

And this market is way up.
Don't believe me?
Go back one year and tell yourself the price of Bitcoin.
What did past you have to say?

This mega bubble is creating a lot of chop.
The Q4 run extended all the way into Q2 of the next year.
That's insane.

It's pretty obvious that even with a cursory glance of Bitcoin price action over the last ten years that we very rarely get a solid back to back Q4 run followed by a Q2 run. That's only possible during the 4th year of the mega bubble. Most of the time we have to wait 18 months between legitimate bull run. The green cycles turn bad all the time if we just had a bull run the cycle before. The best example on that front being Q4 2018 where BTC crashed 50% back into the doubling curve rather than being bullish.

Aren't you better than me at speculation? You should be telling me where the price is going. I've been saying $250k Q4 2021 for three years. I could care less where the price goes within the next few months.