Yesterday I couldn't find any interesting bet, but I am getting back to business today with 3 bets on the really interesting match between Portland and Milwaukee. First of all, none of the teams is starting or ending a back to back. It will probably not be a blow out, and we should have a tight match with the best team available for both. Important players should therefore have a huge playing time.

My bets

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Over 12.5 RBS) @1.943

Giannis played 8 matches so far. He was over this 12.5, 5 out of this 8 games. 2 of the under where linked with a low playing time (19 and 23). For me, even if Portland is conceding less rebounds than most of the nba teams, but the difference between the cut and the reality is huge, and the odd is really interesting.

Khris Middleton (Over 3.5 AST) @1.925

Exact same analyse as the previous bet. The cut here for a 1.925 odd is for me too low.

Yusuf Nurkic (Under 10.5 RBS) @1.719

This one is a bit more interesting. Lopez is constantly getting out of the paint during the attacking phase of the bucks, often taking his match-up with him. This is confirmed by statistics. The Center of the opposite team almost always has a lower amount of rebounds in the game than his average of the current season. Sometimes the difference is even huge. On top of that, Nurkic just got 13 and 14 rebounds against the Lakers and the Timberwolves (2 of the worst team in the paint so far) increasing the cut and the odd. The analyse is a bit simple. Of course Portland can switch while defending, of course Nurkic can stay in the paint but the stats are clear enough for me. His average for this year is around 10 rebounds, the cut is 10.5, so I take the under !

Previous bets & results

Overall