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Groceries are almost entirely domestic for most people and gas is lower over the past couple of years than it has been. I dont think tariffs are substantively affecting either of those things. And its appearently not affecting the things measured for inflation. It would be interesting to know on what items people are paying tariffs on. You would think that whoever did that study would have that data.
Also, its worth pointing out that many of the tariffs in effect are reciprocal tariffs (e.g. we"ve imposed a 17% tariff on Japan because they have a 17% tariff on us). But there is no doubt that, whatever the exact effect, tariffs are going to put an upward pressure on prices. It just isnt necessarily a 1 to 1 relationship.
RE: Americans Paid Trump's tariffs in 2025