I also like to watch @arcange for his HiveStatistics and HiveFinancial updates which can give you a closer look at what is actually happening on chain. My updates trust @coingecko and Messari but you can use https://wallet.hive.blog/market to trade your own ways. I personally love to POWER UP but saving HBD is also a great choice too.
Today it looks like you can get about 126.964 HIVE for 100 HBD