I like your effort here but, seriously, you cannot make any long term assumptions using a 5-minute chart. 5 minute charts are for making extremely short term trades. And you certainly can't make any short term trades on low liquidity assets. Not if you want to stay clothed while you're walking around in the world. Like I said, I admire your effort to learn but you need to do some more research and watch some of the more experienced traders' analysis. "Educate yourself and trade responsibly. Unless you don't feel like it. It's your money."