Very thorough analysis. I find it very interesting the way the Hive price matches the early days of Steem. That is a rather odd coincidence. The key, as with any crypto, is going to be adoption. If Hive can get it's name out into the centralized platforms as a legitimate and better alternative then it can grow its base of users/investors exponentially. Plus, once people are here and see what Hive has to offer as an ecosystem, I think they'll be able to see the potential and will want to stick around for the ride. Time will tell, as always.