I've been enjoying Wimbledon these past weeks also doing quite well in betting even though I kept my stakes low. On Thursday & Friday, the semi-finals will be played soe here are some thoughs and bets I have placed...
Semi-Final Bets Recap
I had 3 pre-game bets (Link for the semi-finals of which 2 lost without any chance in the Womens games and one was an easy winner in the mens Semi Final.
| Stake | Bet | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 0.060 units | Sabalenka -1.5 Sets @ 2.100 | LOST -0.06 Units |
| 0.040 units | Swiatek vs Bencic Over 21 @ 1.960 | LOST -0.04 Units |
| 0.177 units | Sinner -1.5 Sets @ 1.961 | WON +0.17 Units |
Luckily the by far most confident bet turned out in a nice winner. However, I added a bit on my stakes in-game on the others so overall I ended with a small loss putting me still at +0.5 units on the tournament which I'm very pleased with as I can't say I'm the expert that can justify to take higher stakes without putting myself overly at risk.
Sabalenka just played horribly and is a player that is just hard to trust in situations like this. I guess the key is to watch the match and wait for a turning point which never really came against Anisimova who was the better player. The anticipated dip for Swiatek never really came and she looked more like the 'double bagle' player she used to be some years ago. Sinner simply is better than Djokovic who also seemed to suffer a bit from his injury as the age is catching on to him.
Saturday Womens Finals
Swiatek vs Anisimova: It more and more looks like Swiatek is back to her old insane form but I'm not really willing to trust her yet at 1.4 odds. If feels like she will either continue this form and easily win this match or a situation where she starts struggling again making it more into a coinflip match.For Anisimova it's her first Grand Slam Final so either nerves will be high or there will be a 'I have nothing to lose mentality' at least early in the match as it might turn into nerves and a heavy arm if the time comes when she's ahead and looking to win. So forme this is one of those matches where you just wait and go with the flow of what both players bring along with situations when nerves might start playing a role. So I'm looking to back Swiatek in case she takes a bad start and loses the first set at the moment there are signs of a momentum switch. No Pre-Game Bets
Sunday Mens Finals
Sinner vs Alcaraz: This is a rematch of the Roland Garros Final between the 2 players who clearly stand miles above all the others right now. I watched part of that match and especially at the start it looked like Sinner was just too good. This despite the fact that gravel is his least favorite underground, while it's the best for Alcaraz. However, lcaraz managed somehow to win the 5 set match, getting the tie break in the final 2 sets. Alcaraz so far this tournamanet lost quite some sets, but he has grown in form. Sinner pretty much had 2 walkovers after the Retirement of Dimitrov and the match against Djokovic who wasn't at 100%. At the same time, if feels like Sinner when he plays at his best is indeed the #1 player of the world right now. This is his first Wimbledon final while Alcaraz won the last 2 editions so there is somewhat of an experience edge for Alcaraz which Djokovic in his view on this match said was the factor that Alcaraz was the slightest favorite. Sinner is pretty cool emotionally though and I see him as the slight favorite. He could easily have won in Roland Garros which is his least favorite undergroud while it's the best for Alcaraz. So now on grass this should give a bigger edge to Sinner. yet the odds are the same as the Roland Garros Tournament. I'm looking to back Sinner at 2.1+ odds and managed to take 0.05 units on Sinner @ 2.133. I also would not be surprised to see Sinner again starting the match as the player who looks like it might be an easy match only for Alcaraz to adjust later on and make it more even. also 0.05 units on Sinner 1st Set @ 2.012. Both with an eye to possibly increase my stake a bit in-game. This one also should be a fun match to watch and the expectations are set crazy high.
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Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record
| Year | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-2024 | 56 | 25 | 28 | 3 | 0.0469 | -0.0139 | -29.6% |
| 2022-2023 | 76 | 42 | 31 | 3 | 0.1685 | +0.029687 | +17.62% |
| 2021-2022 | 56 | 27 | 25 | 4 | 0.115 | +0.0166 | +14.45% |
| 2020-2021 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.0250 | -0.002845 | -11.38% |
| 2019-2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0100 | +0.01271 | +127% |
| 2018-2019 | 59 | 24 | 27 | 5 | 0.5900 | -0.02199 | -3.7% |
| 2017-2018 | 136 | 65 | 64 | 7 | 1.233 | +0.112687 | +9.14% |
| 2016-2017 | 70 | 34 | 34 | 2 | 0.658 | +0.006912 | +1.05% |
| Total | 458 | 219 | 211 | 25 | 2.8464 | +0.139861 | +4.91% |
IMPORTANT !
Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people who are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!
