I found Belgium to play really mature not blindly going forward, looking at the game stats Portugal didn't deserve the loss though but like you say, that's football. I already took 0.1 unit on Belgium +0 @ 2.55 for the match against Italy just when the odds were released (now trading at 2.34). I'm expecting another quite close match with no team that should be a big favorite (at least if injuries are no major factor).