I honestly think Hive is in for a continued price drop in the coming months. The 'community' is scattered mostly because they pulled that hive airdrop exclusion list, making Hive just another centralized chain very similar to Steem now. The entire upvote system is still very much broken and I don't think many are going to be willing to get burned again after investing in Steem. Selling pressure also will increase as people want to cash out their earnings while there is no incentive whatsoever for new people to join. The only real chance is for Splinterlands to come over to Hive right now. Otherwise, I don't see the fork as something that will have short term success as much as I would like to see it succeed.