We can look at the track record of Steem hard forks and the attempts most of them had to fix hat was not in essence really broken, (the reward pool). Each hard fork seemed to have the effect of decreasing user activity, use of steem, and a down ward spiral of the price of steem.

We can continue along the same road that steem has taken and continue fixing something that really is not broken, or we can try to fix things that users see as broken.

The third fork will be the true telling fork, who controls the direction of Hive the Few or the Many. Will we see a resolution for how the witness system works, (or doesn't), will we see a solution offered for the down vote issues. Or will Hive just be another broken fork in the chain.