Back in June I wrote that NATO had suffered strategic defeat on the fields of Ukraine.
Even though it was only one week into Ukraine's counter-offensive I correctly read the battlefield outcomes and drew strategic conclusions.
I have been proven correct.
Today another war is ongoing but the battlefield results allow the same conclusions to be drawn.
Iran is facing total strategic defeat as each of its proxies is destroyed.
It adopted an asymmetric warfare strategy and now it is is in tatters.
Hamas is utterly defeated and its total extirpation is only a matter of time.
Hezbollah is faring badly in its mini-war with Israel and will have to either withdraw north of the Litani River or be destroyed like Hamas.
Houthis have f'ed around with international trade and are about to find out what happens to pirates. Israel won't have to lift a finger.
Iran itself has no serious military capacity. Its tanks and planes are over 40 years old.
China and Russia don't give a fig about Iran except as a trade route to India.
They neither have the interest or capability to intervene if Israel or the US decide to punish Iran directly.
No risk of WWIII (unlike in Ukraine), just a devastating defeat for Iran.
So the points tally is:
Russia: 1
Israel: 1
China: 0
USA: 0 (one win and one loss)
Ukraine: -1
Iran: -1
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