Good afternoon Steemians, how do you do?
In today's post I will do another technical analysis of the price of BTC, based on the classic tool of exponential moving averages, trend channels and RSI.
To perform this analysis, I used Binance's candlestick chart views for the 1 day, 1 week and 1 month respectively, along with the exponential average curves of 7, 21, 50 and 200 days, price trend channel. and RSI since 02/04/2019. That way I have a wider scope to be able to do a safer analysis with a larger historical series. It is worth remembering that this analysis aims at the medium and long term.
Exponential moving averages are the average prices for a given period of time, with the most recent period having the greatest weight in the construction of curves. Thus, in addition to providing a visualization of a trend, they react faster by taking into account short-term market price volatility.
7-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA 7): dark blue
21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA 21): yellow
50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA 50): Red
200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA 200): turquoise blue
Trend Channel: Orange Lines
** PLEASE NOTE: THIS POST HAS ONLY AN EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE AND SHOULD NOT BE TAKEN AS A BASIS FOR INVESTMENT DECISIONS. THE ANALYSIS REFLECTS ONLY TO MY OPINION AND I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY GAIN OR LOSS OF OPERATIONS BASED ON THIS TECHNICAL PRICE ANALYSIS. **
Come on!
Image Source: binance.com
Image Source: binance.com
Image Source: binance.com
As you can see from the graphs above, the 7-day moving average is below EMA 21. This may indicate a price correction trend, as usually when short-term averages (EMA 7) are above other averages. Longer term this probably indicates a bullish flag in prices and when it crosses down we have the opposite. So as we have EMA 7 below EMA 21 we may still have some correction and price declines, although I believe that this correction (if any) should be quite small.
The RSI is lateralized around 51.86, which may indicate the completion of the recent correction we had over the past 19 days in BTC prices.
So here we have a somewhat confusing scenario, as long-term indicators indicate a rise, while short-term ones indicate a decline. This may translate into a possible continuation of the price correction trend that we can observe since 6/26/2019, when we hit the ATH (All Time Heights) of this last wave (but it was not the historic BTC ATH).
Regarding the trend channel observed since 04/04/2019, we can say that the supports and resistances for 29 and 08/30/2019 are as follows respectively:
Supports:
Day 29 - USD $ 9,367.00
30th - USD $ 10,124.00
Resistances:
Day 29 - USD $ 9,415.00
30th - USD $ 11,185.00
The end of this trend channel (regardless of the type of visualization used) should occur between 02 and 22/09/2019, when then we should have a break and a clear direction of the market.
NOTE: The price trend channel was adjusted to reflect the 4.96% correction we had yesterday (08/28/2019).
To sum up: Due to all these indicators I still believe that there is room for a possible correction of BTC prices (both in the short, medium and long term) despite the recent correction we had in recent days which was around 26.65 %.
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