Yo me inclinaria mas por el escenario 2, todo parece que el BTC no tiene fuerza actualmente para sobrepasar la zona de los 60000$, no se observa ingreso de volumen a esos niveles.

I would lean more towards scenario 2, everything seems that the BTC does not currently have the strength to exceed the $ 60,000 zone, no volume entry is observed at those levels.