I was asked to leave a comment when I downvoted a post, so I did so. It wasn't meant condescendingly, it is just an explanation of why I downvoted.

I can only make judgments based on the arguments presented in the post I am voting on. In your reply, you are now citing many additional pieces of information, which I don't have time to evaluate at this moment. But I stand by my original position, which is that based solely on the data you presented in your post, your conclusion in that post was unwarranted. If someone says they see 2 people enter a building, and therefore there are clearly 9 people inside, that is a flawed argument. That is what you did in your original post.