Now over 106 million votes in the Midterms.
The House popular vote margin is now down to R+3.3%. We are getting close to the end, not many votes left to count.
The final generic ballot polling average was R+1.2%. That would be below average polling error for the generic ballot. With how many uncontested seats there were this election the error for contested races was even less. Directionally the generic ballot polling bias was fairly typical. It tends to overestimate Democrats to a similar degree.
Republicans are on track for 222 seats. That would represent a R+2% margin. So the generic ballot overestimated how many seats the Dems would win by 2 seats. That is far below average error on that dimension. Directionally it tends to overestimate Democratic seats, but again this is far below average bias.
It was an excellent Midterms for the generic ballot polling ( and the horse race polling! ).
