Using the "Our Word in Data" website we have extracted the latest snapshot for each country of total vaccinations per hundred people and total 'covid deaths' per million. The full data by country - in order of vaccinations - is listed at the bottom of this page (all numbers rounded to 0 decimal places).
We use inverted commas for 'covid deaths' because (as readers of this blog will know) this is a very vague metric and we have no confidence that it is accurate or consistently collected for any country in the world. If the data were accurate, and if the vaccines worked as claimed, then what we should see when we plot the vaccinations against deaths is something like this:
i.e. the more vaccinations in a country the fewer deaths.
Obviously there are multiple confounding factors (other than inconsistent reporting) that can impact on the relationship (timing when covid first hit, average population age, population density, geographial location, access to healthcare, etc) not to mention all the missing factors previously discussed**. Ideally the deaths should also be restricted to post-vaccination roll out (difficult to do that using the Our World in Data spreadsheet). But it is still surprising that the following is the actual plot:
All pretty random*** but note the high number of low vaccination, low covid death countries (mainly in Africa) as shown in this map:
But what it really shows more than anything is how poor all the 'official' covid data are (look at the laughable China data) and, because of the universally poor data, how little evidence there is of either the severity of Covid or the effectiveness of any covid interventions.
This study argues that higher country vaccination rates actually causes higher mortality rates: Beattie, K. (2021). Worldwide Bayesian Causal Impact Analysis of Vaccine Administration on Deaths and Cases Associated with COVID-19: A BigData Analysis of 145 Countries. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.34214.65605
**As we have been saying since March 2020 all of the 'official' Covid data are essentially useless because they do not provide us with the necessary information to take account of all of the causal explanations for what is observed:
Country | total vaccinations per hundred | total deaths per million |
Gibraltar | 322 | 2968 |
Cuba | 268 | 735 |
Chile | 230 | 2035 |
United Arab Emirates | 224 | 216 |
Iceland | 209 | 108 |
Denmark | 209 | 560 |
Isle of Man | 208 | 784 |
Malta | 208 | 922 |
South Korea | 202 | 111 |
Uruguay | 200 | 1771 |
China | 197 | 3 |
Cayman Islands | 196 | 165 |
Faeroe Islands | 196 | 285 |
United Kingdom | 195 | 2181 |
Ireland | 194 | 1186 |
Portugal | 191 | 1864 |
Belgium | 186 | 2434 |
Seychelles | 185 | 1324 |
Bahrain | 185 | 797 |
Spain | 184 | 1909 |
Italy | 184 | 2278 |
France | 183 | 1830 |
Austria | 182 | 1520 |
Bermuda | 182 | 1707 |
Canada | 181 | 798 |
Israel | 180 | 887 |
Cambodia | 180 | 178 |
Brunei | 179 | 222 |
Germany | 178 | 1336 |
Norway | 178 | 239 |
Qatar | 178 | 211 |
Malaysia | 176 | 961 |
Singapore | 175 | 149 |
Finland | 175 | 282 |
Sweden | 173 | 1507 |
Cyprus | 172 | 698 |
Argentina | 168 | 2569 |
Greece | 167 | 2005 |
Australia | 165 | 88 |
Luxembourg | 165 | 1429 |
Liechtenstein | 165 | 1804 |
Mongolia | 161 | 619 |
Kuwait | 160 | 570 |
Mauritius | 160 | 188 |
New Zealand | 160 | 10 |
San Marino | 159 | 2793 |
Japan | 158 | 146 |
Switzerland | 158 | 1397 |
Sri Lanka | 158 | 698 |
Hungary | 156 | 3934 |
Netherlands | 155 | 1193 |
Brazil | 155 | 2894 |
Turkey | 155 | 968 |
Lithuania | 154 | 2752 |
United States | 153 | 2476 |
Aruba | 153 | 1689 |
Ecuador | 153 | 1881 |
Vietnam | 151 | 322 |
Costa Rica | 151 | 1429 |
Andorra | 150 | 1719 |
Bhutan | 148 | 4 |
Peru | 148 | 6071 |
Thailand | 147 | 309 |
El Salvador | 147 | 585 |
Taiwan | 146 | 36 |
Maldives | 145 | 482 |
Saudi Arabia | 144 | 251 |
Czechia | 144 | 3374 |
Turks and Caicos Islands | 144 | 586 |
Fiji | 140 | 772 |
Slovenia | 140 | 2693 |
Greenland | 138 | 18 |
Iran | 137 | 1545 |
Latvia | 137 | 2443 |
Morocco | 135 | 397 |
Panama | 135 | 1696 |
Anguilla | 134 | 264 |
Curacao | 132 | 1147 |
Hong Kong | 132 | 28 |
Dominican Republic | 129 | 388 |
Monaco | 126 | 835 |
Colombia | 126 | 2533 |
Poland | 124 | 2581 |
New Caledonia | 123 | 971 |
Antigua and Barbuda | 123 | 1195 |
Serbia | 120 | 1840 |
British Virgin Islands | 118 | 1282 |
French Polynesia | 116 | 2251 |
Nicaragua | 116 | 32 |
Croatia | 116 | 3072 |
Oman | 116 | 787 |
Uzbekistan | 115 | 44 |
Estonia | 115 | 1458 |
Mexico | 114 | 2299 |
Slovakia | 112 | 3046 |
Azerbaijan | 111 | 818 |
Wallis and Futuna | 108 | 631 |
Belize | 105 | 1462 |
Venezuela | 105 | 183 |
India | 104 | 346 |
Barbados | 104 | 904 |
Saint Kitts and Nevis | 102 | 523 |
Cape Verde | 102 | 625 |
Tunisia | 102 | 2141 |
Indonesia | 101 | 521 |
Montenegro | 101 | 3844 |
Russia | 101 | 2080 |
Trinidad and Tobago | 100 | 2054 |
Rwanda | 99 | 102 |
Philippines | 98 | 463 |
Guyana | 97 | 1318 |
Honduras | 95 | 1037 |
Paraguay | 95 | 2301 |
Kosovo | 94 | 1678 |
Kazakhstan | 92 | 959 |
Botswana | 92 | 1020 |
Timor | 89 | 91 |
North Macedonia | 84 | 3752 |
Romania | 83 | 3072 |
Suriname | 83 | 2009 |
Bolivia | 82 | 1661 |
Belarus | 82 | 570 |
Albania | 81 | 1116 |
Jordan | 80 | 1205 |
Bangladesh | 80 | 169 |
Laos | 79 | 19 |
Bahamas | 76 | 1796 |
Nepal | 74 | 390 |
Pakistan | 70 | 128 |
Grenada | 69 | 1770 |
Ukraine | 65 | 2354 |
Lebanon | 65 | 1350 |
Tajikistan | 64 | 13 |
Palestine | 63 | 932 |
Georgia | 63 | 3457 |
Guatemala | 62 | 883 |
Sao Tome and Principe | 62 | 255 |
Montserrat | 61 | 201 |
Comoros | 59 | 170 |
Myanmar | 58 | 350 |
Saint Lucia | 57 | 1600 |
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 55 | 728 |
Armenia | 55 | 2676 |
Bulgaria | 54 | 4492 |
Egypt | 51 | 207 |
Vanuatu | 49 | 3 |
Zimbabwe | 48 | 332 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 48 | 3590 |
South Africa | 46 | 1515 |
Mozambique | 46 | 62 |
Moldova | 44 | 2556 |
Jamaica | 41 | 833 |
Libya | 39 | 819 |
Iraq | 34 | 586 |
Angola | 34 | 52 |
Eswatini | 34 | 1102 |
Kyrgyzstan | 34 | 423 |
Lesotho | 32 | 308 |
Equatorial Guinea | 31 | 121 |
Namibia | 29 | 1398 |
Algeria | 28 | 139 |
Togo | 28 | 29 |
Gabon | 25 | 125 |
Ghana | 24 | 40 |
Congo | 23 | 63 |
Guinea | 21 | 29 |
Uganda | 21 | 69 |
Guinea-Bissau | 21 | 74 |
Djibouti | 20 | 189 |
Kenya | 18 | 98 |
Cote d'Ivoire | 18 | 26 |
Liberia | 17 | 55 |
Central African Republic | 16 | 21 |
Benin | 14 | 13 |
Senegal | 13 | 110 |
Afghanistan | 13 | 183 |
Sudan | 12 | 72 |
Sierra Leone | 11 | 15 |
Gambia | 11 | 138 |
Syria | 10 | 156 |
Ethiopia | 9 | 59 |
Somalia | 9 | 81 |
Zambia | 9 | 197 |
Malawi | 9 | 120 |
Nigeria | 7 | 14 |
Papua New Guinea | 6 | 65 |
Mali | 5 | 32 |
Burkina Faso | 5 | 15 |
Tanzania | 4 | 12 |
Niger | 4 | 10 |
Cameroon | 4 | 67 |
Madagascar | 3 | 34 |
Yemen | 3 | 64 |
South Sudan | 2 | 12 |
Chad | 2 | 11 |
Haiti | 2 | 66 |
Burundi | 0 | 3 |
Mozambique | 0 | 22 |
***For those who place value in correlation coefficients for such relationships (we don't) there is a significant positive correlation of 0.31 between number of vaccines and number of deaths