Venezuela is a prime target of regime change this year. Opposition leader Juan Guaido has self-proclaimed himself as the new "interim president". This was likely instituted by the U.S. political arena seeking to gain more exclusive access to Venezuela's resources, such as oil. If it wasn't orchestrated by the U.S., they surely jumped on the opportunity to foster the degradation of Venezuela and blame it on the current President Maduro.
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Guaido's so-called "Operation Freedom" hasn't been going as quickly as he expected, as Maduro has not been toppled yet. In efforts to hasten that goal, he announced new "tactical actions" which which rely on so-called "Aid and Freedom Committees", starting April 6.
Civilian "freedom cells" with work with committees and opposition law makers, executing a march on the Miraflores presidential palace. Operation Freedom is a "full-fledged revolution in all states of Venezuela simultaneously", said Guaido, where "labor and sectoral committees" followed by "constitutional forces" and the Venezuelan army will try to put Guaido in charge. But the army is mostly loyal to Maduro.
The regime change for Venezuela is still moving along quite strongly. The past few eeks have seen greater hardship fall on the citizens of Venezuela, as U.S. sanctions continue to be imposed. Other efforts to promote regime change come from what are likely engineered power blackouts.
Plunging a country into darkness is a favored tactic for regime change, and Maduro singles out the U.S. for causing this chaos. Washington denies it, of course, saying it's faulty infrastructure. But turning the people against a leader they want gone is something they now how to do, and taking away electricity is an effective way to make that happen.
The U.S. has sought to foment resistance in Venezuela before, with former President Hugo Chavez. A memo from 2010 with the subject "Analysis of the situation in Venezuela, September 2010" can be found on WikiLeaks. It was composed by CANVAS and sent to Stratfor - a private intelligence firm linked to U.S. intelligentsia, which CANVAS is as well.
One of CANVAS’s major funders is Muneer Satter, a former Goldman Sachs executive who stepped down from that position in June 2012and now owns Satter Investment Management LLC. Stratfor CEO Shea Morenz worked for ten years at Goldman Sachs as well, where he served as Managing Director in the Investment Management Division and Region Head for Private Wealth Management for the Southwest Region... A powerful individual who lobbied the U.S. government to give money to CANVAS early on was Michael McFaul, the current U.S. Ambassador to Russia for the State Department and someone who “worked closely with” Popovic while serving as a Senior Fellow at the right-wing Hoover Institution at Stanford University.
CANVAS is funded by the U.S. and engages in so-called "democracy promotion", especially of youth in countries the West wants regime change to happen in.
The memo they sent to Stratfor singles-out the electrical infrastructure of Venezuela as a "weakness" which could be a "watershed event" and "likely have the impact of galvanizing public unrest in a way that no opposition group could ever hope to generate."
A key to Chavez's current weakness is the decline in the electricity sector. There is the grave possibility that some 70 percent of the country's electricity grid could go dark as soon as April 2010. Water levels at the Guris dam are dropping, and Chavez has been unable to reduce consumption sufficiently to compensate for the deteriorating industry.
This could be the watershed event, as there is little that Chavez can do to protect the poor from the failure of that system. This would likely have the impact of galvanizing public unrest in a way that no opposition group could ever hope to generate. At that point in time, an opposition group would be best served to take advantage of the situation and spin it against Chavez and towards their needs.
Alliances with the military could be critical because in such a situation of massive public unrest and rejection of the presidency, malcontent sectors of the military will likely decide to intervene, but only if they believe they have sufficient support. This has been the pattern in the past three coup attempts. Where the military thought it had enough support, there was a failure in the public to respond positively (or the public responded in the negative), so the coup failed.
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This works out well now as Guaido exploits the power outages or his political gain. And this fits exactly with the suggestions form the memo, stating "an opposition group would be best served to take advantage of the situation and spin it against Chavez and towards their needs". This is quite a prophetic analysis. maybe it came about naturally, and maybe it was helped along or created to actively initiate a climate for regime change at the right moment.
Note how some U.S. politicians are acting towards Venezuela. Their statements represent an intent to cause suffering and chaos. One such twisted politician is Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Florida) who is engaging in more prophetizing about the chaos that Venezuela will face saying:
"Venezuela is going to enter a period of suffering no nation in our hemisphere has confronted in modern history."
He said that on March 7, and 3 days later on march 10 was the major collapse of the Simon Bolivar Hydroelectric Plant which led to blackouts across Venezuela, and an increasingly angered population. Rubio even tweeted that "backup generators have failed" minutes after the power plants' collapse. Yet, even Venezuelan local authorities didn't even know if that had happened at the time.
Speaking as though "God" itself was responsible as a punishment for the outage, Guaido stated "the light will return when the usurpation [of Maduro] ends." Only by accepting the regime change would Venezuela be saved from the suffering it's experiencing. Whether the U.S. has orchestrated the event, it's acting as the "watershed event" described in the 2010 memo written by CANVAS.
The memo's author, Srdja Popovic, is said to have trained Venezuela’s Guaido in how to foment a rebellion. Venezuelan ambassador to Russia, Carlos Rafael Faria Tortosa, has said:
"Guaido was recruited, according to our information, some 10 years ago. He was sent to Serbia to study [rebellions]. You probably know about it."
This is the moment they've been waiting for.
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References:
- Regime change ramp-up? Guaido announces Venezuela-wide 'tactical action' against Maduro
- WikiLeaks doc - Analysis of the situation in Venezuela, September 2010
- Center for Applied Non-Violent Actions and Strategies
- US Regime Change Blueprint Proposed Venezuelan Electricity Blackouts as ‘Watershed Event’
- US Lawmakers Warn Maduro Loyalists in Venezuela
- Serbian Activist Denies ‘Training’ Venezuela’s Guaido in Rebellion
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