#taleb

Our bias is immediately to establish a causal link @NNTaleb

Ich benutze in der Überschrift dieses grauenhafte Unwort "Klimaskeptiker" , obwohl es (glücklicherweise noch) nicht im Duden steht. Dummerweise hört man es immer öfter, weil es so schön prägnant

#Rhetoric can be constructed randomly, but not genuine scientific knowledge @NNTaleb

It is very difficult to isolate a single cause when there are plenty around. This is called multivariate analysis @NNTaleb

It is true that a thousand days cannot prove you right, but one day can prove you wrong @NNTaleb

We are, whether we like it or not, prisoners of our biology @NNTaleb

Neben Bitcoin Obituaries ist die Homepage des Nakamoto Institute eine weitere gute Seite um Bitcoin Kritiker an ihre Statements aus den vorherigen Jahren zu erinnern. In letzter Zeit sah sich der

I made significant progress toward getting into a master's degree program today, so I didn't have much time to write (outside the requirements of that; I spent several hours on the phone and more working

What is the relationship between the Black Swan logic proposed by Nassim Taleb and Software Engineering ? Books and technical content are good, they help us keep our knowledge up to date, but also I like

#Science is a mere speculation, mere formulation of conjecture @NNTaleb

Had something of a long/short day between church and then having a D&D game with some new players in the afternoon. I spent longer than I should checking out E3 stuff, so I'm just kind of a mess. Aphorism

Going to do a series of shorter reflections on aphorisms for a while so that I can focus on other writing, once I get back into a schedule I'll be doing more. Until mid-week next week I'm going to be doing

If your private actions do not generalize then you cannot have general ideas @NNTaleb

Freedom is not #free @NNTaleb

Mathematics offer certainties but not effectiveness. Engineering offers effectiveness but not certainties. Social Science offers neither certainties nor effectiveness @NNTaleb

Like professors of comparative literature, journalists paid to provide explanations will gladly & readily provide them @NNTaleb

Almost everything in social life is produced by rare but consequential shocks & jumps @NNTaleb

Almost everything studied about social life focuses on "normal," with bell curve methods inference that tell you nothing @NNTaleb

Only a few people suffice to disproportionately move the needle @NNTaleb