Unfortunately, I completely agree with you that things are bound to get worse. I hope there is a brief spike in insecurity this fall followed by a rapid recovery, but fear a sustained plunge that causes widespread penury and increasing desperation as it continues to deprive people and communities of necessities due to collapsing supply lines for every good and service that requires fuel, or petroleum products like fertilizer, helium, and sulphur. With any luck many will determine the only way they can gain the supplies of necessities no longer produced and delivered via centralized production pipelines is to adopt decentralized means of production locally, and personally.

While the supply shock will cost humanity dearly, if production becomes broadly decentralized in the aftermath, in the long run humanity will benefit from reduced dependence on narcissistic psychopaths willing to sacrifice them for profit. The greatest benefit from durable expansion of decentralization will be not commodities like food, power, and other basics, but security, as the recent dramatic changes to military power and tactics have revealed that inexpensive drones substantially out compete Wunderwaffen like $B bombers and $T carrier fleets, and the advent of <$100 3D printed manpads make security from <$50k drones and >$B bombers potential to small communities and even individuals that adopt 3D printed arms beyond personal weapons like firearms, where the exponential increases in security performance are greatest.

A world in which gangs of armed thugs are no longer the fundamental basis for political power and sovereignty, but the merit of industrious communities and individuals producing their own arms and security are is coming into focus, and those that first adopt new tech will be those that most become secure from the hell of war.

Thanks!