"Tariffs will certainly cause a large number of unforeseen effects that will lead to the complete collapse of the current global economic model..."
Ok. I can see how you can come to that conclusion. It's certainly possible that through the unforeseen and unknown effects of tariffs such things could come about, or could even be planned and made to happen. If there is indeed a plan to bring about WWIII in this way, this is exactly what could happen.
However, the Trump tariffs aren't the sudden eruption of tariffs into existence. All the countries that have been assessed more than the 10% base tariff have tariffs on American exports now. The US hasn't had a trade surplus in 50 years, and many of these tariffs on American exports are far larger than the 10% to 50% tariffs Trump is levying. Canada has a 250% tariff on American milk, for example. These many and outrageous tariffs didn't cause the end of the global economic system.
Other countries that don't levy such tariffs on America neither break the global economic system. So, neither outrageous tariffs nor none at all break the economic system. Then, why would Trump's tariffs break the economic system? Not for any fundamental reason due to the effects of tariffs, nor using the threat of tariffs to persuade countries to cease tariffing US exports, since no tariffs doesn't cause collapse either.
Yesterday 70 countries called the White House and stated they were ready to talk about eliminating tariffs on US exports. That doesn't sound like the end of the world to me. It doesn't even sound like a bad thing. In fact, it sound great for the Americans that produce those products, and the people that buy them. It sounds great for everyone concerned - except those whose jobs were being protected by those tariffs and the rich men that profited by putting those people to work in those protected industries - but a few less rich rich men aren't going to collapse the global economy either.
I don't think the tariffs will cause WWIII, anymore than the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand caused WWI. Cecil Rhodes and Colonel House conspired long and hard to cause WWI, and the assassination was a convenient news event they blamed all the consequences of their machinations on. I see that Trump is using the threat of tariffs to convince other countries to drop their tariffs on American exports, and that will be good for the economy, of the world, and of America. I see that the US national debt is an horrific financial burden that will destroy America and the global economy it drags down with it if it isn't paid down, and a 10% tariff on exports to America will help pay it down without impoverishing Americans under a debt burden comparable to a $100k mortgage for every man, woman, and child in the country.
The only other realistic alternative method to pay it down would be that chosen by Zimbabwe in the 1980s, or by Germany after the Treaty of Versailles, and hyperinflation that would reduce the value of the dollar to a trillionth of a penny, and that wouldn't be good for America, Americans, or anybody in a world where the US dollar is the reserve currency. I'm against hyperinflation as a route to paying down the national debt, and would much prefer that Americans simply become wealthy enough to pay it in strong dollars that the world is happy to be using as it's reserve currency, and that will take a strong economy where America is a productive powerhouse such as has never been seen before in history. It'll take that kind of production because no one has ever paid down a $37T debt before.
I'm not even hinting that the tariffs might do that, but American innovation in space, AI, genetic engineering, agriculture, and much more could well do that, and an even playing field in international trade will be necessary for that to happen. So the tariffs aren't going to make the sky fall. If the sky falls it will be because evil men planned it to fall.
Thanks!
RE: USA: Tariffs are TAX [eng/срп] САД: Царине су ПОРЕЗ