RE: RE: The Monty Hall Problem
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RE: The Monty Hall Problem

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10y

Hey schattenjaeger@schattenjaeger this might help some people. I feel like the sentence in large font below is the key, at least for some people.

Let's say we play this game over and over.

1/3 of the time, you'll have already picked the car, so switching = lose.

2/3s of the time, you'll have initially picked a goat.

In these cases, the game show host, by revealing a goat, is also revealing that the car is behind the other door, because you initially picked a goat.

And since this is more likely to be the case (2/3s of the time vs 1/3), chances are you should switch.

@hyperbolicist: Hey @schattenjaeger | Ecency