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2025-01-16 03:09

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analyzingcrypto

9M

RE: LeoThread 2025-12-20 04-18

Investing should be boring The notion that the only way to get rich is by buying penny stocks or altcoins is misguided Bitcoin rose 8x this market cycle — a remarkable return in just three years

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analyzingcrypto

9M

RE: LeoThread 2025-12-10 02-12

More posts have been appearing on Instagram recently Only the official Instagram account is authentic Other profiles (some with more followers) are impersonating the official account; they are scam accounts

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analyzingcrypto

9M

RE: LeoThread 2025-12-03 03-27

So, QT ending on December 1 doesn't mean the balance sheet will immediately start rising; the uptick might not be noticeable until early 2026

analyzingcrypto

9M

RE: LeoThread 2025-12-03 03-27

In 2019 the Fed announced QT would end on August 1 The balance sheet kept shrinking into August even after QT officially ended because the final round of treasury maturities didn't settle until mid‑August

analyzingcrypto

9M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-21 23-55

Trading is better aligned with the market that exists than with the market that is wanted

analyzingcrypto

9M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-21 23-55

Different narratives will circulate Bear markets are normal Bitcoin has tended to peak in Q4 of the year after a halving and then bottom roughly one year later

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-08 01-19

Bitcoin dominance is up 7-8 weeks in a row, and at the slightest dip the timeline floods with calls for alt season The genuinely contrarian takeaway over the last 4 years was staying bullish on dominance

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

If that occurs, a reassessment would follow

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

BTC falling is unpleasant, but it would likely be among the first to recover to new highs in a future cycle, while many alts could continue declining The base case for ALT/BTC pairs is a drop of about

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

If the BTC cycle top is already in, that approach would avoid the pain of buying alts

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

Instead of holding a basket of alts hoping for alt season, holding BTC is an option if the cycle top is believed to be not in. If BTC rallies to ATHs, a rotation into alts could then be evaluated

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

Regarding altcoins — There still hasn't been a compelling reason to hold them ALTs will only rally against BTC if BTC reaches new highs first

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

If BTC bounces, altcoins will likely bounce with it. The point is they would probably lag Bitcoin

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

The base case for ALT/BTC pairs is a roughly 30% drop over the coming weeks If that occurs, a reassessment of the situation will follow

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

If the BTC cycle top is already in, this approach at least avoids the pain of buying alts BTC dropping is unpleasant, but BTC would likely be among the first to recover to new highs in a future cycle,

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

Rather than holding a basket of alts hoping for alt season, holding BTC is a reasonable alternative if the cycle top isn’t in. If BTC reaches ATHs, a rotation into alts can be evaluated afterward

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-11-05 00-27

As it relates to altcoins — there still isn’t a strong reason to hold them ALTs typically only rally against BTC if BTC first moves to new highs

analyzingcrypto

10M

RE: LeoThread 2025-10-29 22-16

On tariffs: Tariffs take time to pass through production chains before affecting consumers

analyzingcrypto

1y

RE: LeoThread 2025-10-19 23-47

Bitcoin market cycles, explained

analyzingcrypto

1y

RE: LeoThread 2025-10-14 17-41

So when the gurus claim BTC.D is dropping now and shill their shitcoins, keep in mind they must first be wrong. AGAIN.

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